LONDON — In an unexpected move that still managed to put a smile on analysts’ faces, Compagnie Financière Richemont AG warned Thursday that its operating profits could fall by up to 40 percent in the year ending March 31 and said it planned to scale back its loss-making Dunhill and Lancel businesses in the U.S.

The Swiss luxury group said in a statement that the fall stems from the depressed economic climate, eroding consumer confidence, and the weakening of the dollar against the yen and the euro.

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